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The European Union is increasingly caught between the United States and China. Until it finds a common strategic purpose, the bloc will struggle to advance its interests and is increasingly likely to fall victim to great-power plays. Read my latest column for Project Syndicate. Quoted in the FT Quoted in Belgium’s L’Echo Quoted by Voice […]

Posted 29 Apr 2019 in Blog
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I contributed to a symposium published by The International Economy here. “Populist” is often used as a derogatory label for any popular political view that someone deplores. But although populism can take many forms, it has a specific meaning: populists claim to stand up for “the people” (their supporters) against the elites (their opponents, whom […]

Posted 29 Apr 2019 in Blog
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On ABC RN’s Sunday Extra with Hugh Riminton on 20 April Listen here.

Posted 20 Apr 2019 in Blog
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Despite the huge challenges they face, refugees are the most entrepreneurial migrants in Australia – and are nearly twice as likely to start a business as Australian taxpayers in general. Read my piece in the Guardian to coincide with the publication of my new study for the Centre for Policy Development and OPEN on refugee […]

Posted 11 Apr 2019 in Blog
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Greenhouse-gas emissions in the EU actually rose in 2017 – while they fell in Trump’s United States. Read my column for Brussels Times.

Posted 04 Apr 2019 in Blog
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Beware enemies hiding in plain sight. The Audi in the driveway and that BMW creeping around the corner are threats to national security. These days, it’s not the reds under the bed Americans need to worry about—it’s the Mercs on the lurk. Read my latest column for Foreign Policy on Trump’s threatened trade war against […]

Posted 22 Feb 2019 in Blog
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Is the eurozone heading for recession? How will policymakers react if the slowdown does get worse? And what damage could an economic downturn do to Europe’s already fractious politics? Those pressing questions ought to be at the top of policymakers’ minds in the run-up to the European Parliament elections in May. Read my latest column […]

Posted 15 Feb 2019 in Blog
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Yesterday’s rejection of the UK’s EU exit deal was the biggest government defeat ever – on the most important piece of legislation of this parliamentary term and many previous ones. Yet Prime Minister Theresa May has not resigned. The government is almost certain to win this evening’s no-confidence vote tabled by Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn. […]

Posted 16 Jan 2019 in Blog
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Now that the UK government and the EU have finally agreed a Brexit deal, Theresa May must seek Parliament’s approval for it. The battle lines are already drawn. But these do not involve hardline Brexiteers facing off against unreconciled Remainers, or Conservatives against Labour. The big divide is between pragmatists who think that a bad […]

Posted 15 Nov 2018 in Blog
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Far from prompting other countries to want to leave, the Brexit shambles is boosting support for the EU. Even far-right nationalists have concluded that EU exit is a dead end. But the EU faces a more insidious threat: that it will disintegrate from within, as nationalists first undermine then seek to take over EU institutions, as I […]

Posted 13 Nov 2018 in Blog
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Photo by Joy Ekpeti I debated this with Ian Goldin at The Economist’s Open Future conference in London. Having just flown in from Sydney I was extremely jetlagged, but apart from saying the word “fundamentally” a few too many times, I hope my positive, reasoned message came across well. Watch the full day on YouTube; our […]

Posted 09 Nov 2018 in Blog
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Angela Merkel’s announcement of her political departure has prompted a predictable response from many quarters: that she was the “steady hand” that held Europe together, and that her “strong and stabilising leadership” will be sorely missed. Nonsense. Merkel’s 13 years in office have involved domestic drift and European decay. She has complacently coasted along, failing to […]

Posted 08 Nov 2018 in Blog
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My latest column for Brussels Times

Posted 24 Sep 2018 in Blog
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Read my contribution to The National Interest

Posted 24 Sep 2018 in Blog
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Refugees are typically very hard-working, highly motivated and loyal employees, and many are highly skilled too. On a fantastic speaking tour of New Zealand organised by Host International and other partners on 6-10 August I made the case for employing refugees including at a parliamentary breakfast hosted by Minister of Finance Grant Robertson and a lunch […]

Posted 15 Aug 2018 in Blog
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I spoke about the threats to our open world at an event organised by the New Zealand Initiative at the University of Victoria in Wellington on 8 August. Apologies for the poor-quality audio.

Posted 08 Aug 2018 in Blog
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Watch my interview on Al Jazeera English’s Inside Story

Posted 10 Jul 2018 in Blog
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I was interviewed about the G7 and trade on Al Jazeera English on 9 June. I discussed Donald Trump’s trade war with China on Al Jazeera English’s Inside Story on 16 June.

Posted 18 Jun 2018 in Blog
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While Europe’s economy has picked up and there is no immediate sign of financial stress, many analysts maintain that reforms are needed to protect the single currency. “Make no mistake, the euro desperately needs revamping,” Philippe Legrain, a former adviser to the European Commission president and a senior visiting fellow at the London School of […]

Posted 18 Jun 2018 in Blog
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As part of its excellent Open Future series, The Economist has published an open essay by me that asks: how do we convince sceptics of the value of immigration? The first part is out today, and the subsequent parts will be enriched by readers’ comments. So please take a look and add your ideas and […]

Posted 01 Jun 2018 in Blog